Is a state of disease that sharply increase in population around the world with infections taking place more or less simultaneously. `a worldwide spread of a new disease’ (WHO)
in epidemiology, the Curve refers to the projected number of people who will contract COVID-19 over a period of time.
Number of cases the peak health service capacity time Aiming for a more gradual increase of cases will see the same number of people getting infected, but without overburdening the health-care system at any given time to allow everyone to have better access to health care services is known as `Flattening the Curve’
The Curve can take on several shapes.
The progression of the curve is impacted by various characteristics of the virus such as its basic reproduction number, effective reproduction number, doubling time, incubation period, fatality rate, and others.
A steep curve is formed when the virus spreads exponentially, in which the case count doubles at a consistent rate. This means, the total number of cases will reach its peak in a relatively short period of time.
1. More people are getting infected in a short period of time
2. Overloading of our health care capacity
3. Shortages of essential medical supplies
That leads to a higher number of critically-ill patients that may not receive necessary treatment, resulting in higher number of deaths.
That is why people around the world are trying to flatten The Curve!
Eventhough the outbreak may last longer, less people will have to go through COVID-19 without receiving treatment, meaning fewer deaths and reducing the overall damage of COVID-19 outbreak.